2009 Projection: Clay Condrey

Clay Condrey, RP (RHP)
Age: 33

2008: 69 IP / 3-4 / 3.26 ERA / 19 BB / 34 K / 1 SV / 0 BS / 1.51 WHIP

Summary: Clay Condrey had a career season in 2008, pitching in mostly mop-up spots, but adding a few huge outings in the ledger. He was clearly best between the fourth and sixth innings, holding opponents to a 90 OPS+ (.277 average). He gave up his share of hits but balanced that by having pretty good control (2.48 BB/9). He also recorded a strong left-on-base percentage, not allowing 82 percent of runners to score.

Career Level: Post-Prime (Year 1)

Green Flags: Condrey’s moving fastball baffled plenty of hitters in big spots. … He kept his home run totals down, limiting hitters to just 0.78 HR/9. … Condrey kept strong ground-ball ratings (54.3 percent of balls hit were grounders).

Red Flags: Considering hitters struck him at a .304 clip and he held such a high left-on-base rate, one would think Condrey had plenty of luck on his side in 2008. … Both lefties and righties hit him well (righties at .288, lefties at .320).

Prognostication: Clay Condrey is a battler, but he’s not quite a big-game arm. He doesn’t have amazing stuff, using placement and mixing to his advantage when he can. He’s really a mop-up arm, at best a sometimes middle reliever. If he remains a mop-up man he should limit his numbers; he shouldn’t have as good a season as 2008.

2009 Projection: 59 IP / 5-3 / 4.57 ERA / 20 BB / 29 K / 1 SV / 1 BS / 1.53 WHIP

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