This One Hurts: Revere Breaks Foot – Phillies Nation
Analysis

This One Hurts: Revere Breaks Foot

Ben Revere - Philadelphia PhilliesIn the last at bat of yesterday’s first game, Ben Revere fouled a ball off of his right foot. Revere finished the at-bat, the result: a game-ending double play. Revere was not in the line-up for game two – it turns out, Revere was trying to beat out the game-ending double play with a broken right foot. Ouch.

Talk radio hosts and national pundits have advised that Ryan Howard‘s injury was the red flag for the Phillies to sell. And yet, Darin Ruf, in 29 PA, has been more valuable to the Phillies (0.5 fWAR v. 0.4 fWAR) than the Big Piece has been all season. On the radio this morning, our Pat Gallen was on 97.5 FM talking to Matt Martucci about should the Phillies buy or sell. Gallen and Martucci agreed that Revere’s injury was big but both came very close but just short of saying Revere’s injury would be the reason to sell. I’m here to tell you that it may be just that.

In the last 30 days, Revere is fifth in the Majors and second in the NL in batting average (.380), was ninth in the Majors in batting for the month of June, and is second in the Majors among center fielders in batting average and twelfth in on-base percentage. Since May 1, Revere has hit .347/.380/.404 with 17 SB and has been the catalyst in the Phillies remaining near .500. Even though Revere has compiled just 1 WAR this season, his play since May 1 has been worth 1.5 wins, overcoming play in April that was worth -0.5 wins.

There are very few outfielders available on the trade market and the only outfielders available on the waiver wire are Travis Ishikawa (.260/.324/.398) and Cole Gillespie (.218/.277/.361) and neither are true center fielders. Tyson Gillies made an adjustment to his swing during a demotion to Double-A and has hit .300/.333/.425 in 42 PA since returning to Triple-A after his adjustment and may be the best candidate to replace Revere in center. In watching Gillies, Gillies makes many of the same mistakes that fans are critical of Revere for making: relies too much on speed to make up for sometimes suspect routes to balls to the outfield.

Gillies isn’t up for today’s afternoon game against the White Sox as the Phillies have activated Erik Kratz from the disabled list instead and the Phillies will likely go with John Mayberry Jr. until a decision is made. Would a Gillies call-up be the sign of the Phillies raising the white flag? This is a tough one: Gillies, at 24, is still relatively young but at the same time, when the Phillies acquired Gillies, FanGraphs anticipated having him in the Majors around 2012, so even with a series of unfortunate injuries, Gillies development isn’t too far off track to what was anticipated at the time. Letting Gillies play wouldn’t so much be a surrender as it would be trying to capture lightning in a bottle, perhaps. If the Phillies do call up Gillies, they must play him every day. One thing is for sure, though: Revere’s injury hurts and Gillies, nor anyone else who is available, can replace what Revere has brought to the Phillies. This one hurts.

13 Comments

13 Comments

  1. Tom

    July 14, 2013 at 12:33 pm

    As Austin Powers once eloquently stated, “Ouch, baby…Ouch!”

  2. Walt M

    July 14, 2013 at 1:17 pm

    Does the Howard/Ruf situation sort of remind you of the Thome/Howard situation a few years back?

    • Ian Riccaboni

      July 14, 2013 at 1:25 pm

      It’s a little bit different but very, very similar. Thome was more productive than Howard is right now and Ruf doesn’t have as of a robust track record in the minors that Howard had. The Howard-for-Thome swap was, in my opinion riskier even though the result was phenomenal. Ruf is benefiting from facing lefties consistently right now but him-for-Howard is actually probably less risky than when the Big Piece replaced Thome amd there actually may be a bigger net gain in the 2013 scenario. That says more about how unproductive Howard has become than the potential of Ruf.

  3. smitty

    July 14, 2013 at 2:03 pm

    I find it ironic that there would be discussion about selling off players etc. with the injury to a player who was uniformly excoriated by virtually anyone touching the keyboard on this blog and the other blogs of its ilk. It seems that if a player doesn’t turn out to be the second coming of Mike Trout within 4 weeks he is a bust, it is RAJ’s stupidity, the organization’s parsimony, or the fault of Ryan Howard’s contract ? Or maybe it is 2/3 of those.

    The beauty of this sport is it takes time – and lots of it to build winners, to be a winning player, to compete with grizzled veterans and cunning pitchers. These sites seem to cater to bloggers who do not appreciate how hard this game really is. Now that the once RAJ mistake has done well, we should concur with thoughts to dismantle due to his injury as rationale the team is sunk is flat out absurd.

    • jobangone

      July 14, 2013 at 2:30 pm

      Whoa Smitty, ……. parsimony…….excoriated…… you’ll be driving us to the dictionary! I do agree that it takes time to build a winner but your casual fan doesn’t want to wait.

  4. loupossehl

    July 14, 2013 at 5:48 pm

    1. “Now that the once RAJ mistake [a.k.a. Ben Revere] has done well, we should concur with thoughts to dismantle due to his injury … ”

    2. “as rationale the team is sunk is flat out absurd.”

    I am striving mightily to put these two thoughts together and am having a really hard time of it. Let’s see: Revere has done well (as in “sparkplug”, I might add) … so we should proceed with blowing up the team, due to Revere’s injury. In terms of logical consistency, so far so good …

    “as rationale the team is sunk is flat out absurd.” OK, I give up.

  5. JD

    July 14, 2013 at 6:05 pm

    .500 at the All Star break and people think they should sell? Good thing those people aren’t GMs.

    • Chuck A.

      July 14, 2013 at 8:54 pm

      Yeah, and saying that Ruf is more valuable than Howard in only 29 Pas, according to WAR, is even more absurd.

      • schmenkman

        July 14, 2013 at 9:15 pm

        his .583 BABIP is totally sustainable, and he can even match Howard’s .861 OPS since 5/19.

      • Chuck A.

        July 14, 2013 at 9:19 pm

        I want to see a bigger sample size before I’m in total agreement on this. Like what I’m seeing so far, though!

      • schmenkman

        July 14, 2013 at 9:22 pm

        Sorry, my sarcasm didn’t come across there. I was agreeing that it’s ridiculous to judge anything on 29 PAs.

      • Chuck A.

        July 14, 2013 at 9:38 pm

        Oops, my bad. I should have known that you, of ALL people, would be in Howard’s corner and that it wouldn’t make sense to compare Ruf to him after only 29 Pas

  6. Philaflava

    July 15, 2013 at 10:01 am

    He’ll be back within 6 weeks. The question is where will the Phillies be in 6 weeks. If they can continue with this pace then maybe getting Doc, Piece and Benny back would be a nice lift into the post season. Our pitching is doing the job and it seems like we’re actually hitting the ball a lot better. Maybe the pressure, this kind, is what they need. JMJ is a fine band-aid we just need J-Roll to have a solid 2nd half and get on base.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Phillies Nation has been bringing Phillies fans together since 2004 with non-stop news, analysis, trade rumors, trips, t-shirts, and other fun stuff!

Browse the Archives

Browse by Category

Copyright Phillies Nation, LLC 2004-2016
Not Affiliated with Major League Baseball or the Philadelphia Phillies

To Top