Phillies Nation Player Review: Kyle Kendrick – Phillies Nation
2013 Player Reviews

Phillies Nation Player Review: Kyle Kendrick

http://cdn0.sbnation.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/10156199/161963929.0_standard_352.0.jpgHeading into 2013, Kyle Kendrick had spent the previous two seasons as a versatile swingman. In 2011 and 2012 combined, Kendrick posted a 3.61 ERA with 5.7 K/9 IP (career high) and 2.6 BB/9 IP (career low) with a 1.252 WHIP.

Through eight starts, Kyle Kendrick posted a 2.47 ERA with a .231 BAA. It looked like the strides Kendrick had made in ’11 and ’12 were real and that he had finally taken a big leap, just as Roy Halladay hit the disabled list, in his first year since 2010 as being a full-time starter. There was even talks of Kendrick possibly making the All-Star team.

But in reality, he fooled us all.

The wheels that appeared to be falling off for Kendrick starting in start nine simply shot off the vehicle after the All-Star Break. Kendrick would post a 4-7 record with a 6.91 ERA and a .385 OBPA. Kendrick’s overall numbers (4.70 ERA in 30 starts, 1.400 WHIP) in 2013 weren’t too far off his career norms however, the pendulum swung in the wrong direction: the brief look into “All-Star caliber” Kendrick was quickly replaced by a seemingly deteriorating Kendrick.

Kendrick’s advanced stats (FIP, xFIP) were actually career-lows, painting a different picture. Kendrick suffered from the highest BABIP of his career, attributable to a horrible Phillies defense and a career-low LOB%, facing some bad luck and said horrible defense. In short, Kendrick’s second-half meltdown was not entirely his fault.

Grade: C. Kyle Kendrick was… Kyle Kendrick in 2013 and not an All-Star pitcher. He will be offered a contract for 2014, according to Ruben Amaro, likely in the neighborhood of $6-7 million a year but the Phillies could look to trade the 29-year old righty in the offseason.

17 Comments

17 Comments

  1. Ken Bland

    October 15, 2013 at 1:53 pm

    There’s nowhere topical to mention this point, insignificant as it is at this early offseason juncture, but when Doc left his last start, it was right about 3 weeks ago now, and on that night, he told of calling his doctor who said he thought he’d need 3 weeks rest sooner than he did.

    So maybe Doc starts throwing again pretty soon, or proceeds with whatever step is next in his off season plan.

    How he’s throwing now, versus weeks from now is not real meaningful but being as Doc will certainly file for free agency after the WS, maybe we’ll get some early reports on how his early off season is going. Still might be early then, but i’d assume he’ll be doing some throwing by month’s end.

    • wbramh

      October 16, 2013 at 3:36 am

      Here’s my bold prediction. Mark this date.
      Doc will retire between now and April.

      I can’t begin to express how great my desire is to be proven flat wrong.

      I’ve watched the best of them for the last 65 years and as a Phillies’ starter I’d put Doc up there with the best of them – on a pedestal with Robbie & Leftie. Robbie was able to become that other pitcher after he lost his fastball. Unless Doc’s ailments are not related to his arm I don’t see him reinventing himself since he seems to have lost his control as well along with velocity. And if Doc’s ailments are unrelated to his shoulder injury (the sweating-the exhaustion,etc) nothing will change unless alternative causes are investigated and I believe management is too myopic to look beyond an MRI of his shoulder.

      But then, what do I know? If my cleanup hitter hit .100 against lefties I might be silly enough to suggest he try wearing glasses. I recall another cleanup hitter by the name of Allen trying that to improve his pickup of the ball – and with some success. But now I’m getting all scientific on management and we know how much they cringe just hearing the word “sabermetrics.”

  2. Lefty

    October 15, 2013 at 2:13 pm

    Kendrick is a very good long man and spot starter. He was taken out of the roles he fit best in last season and returned to full time starter. Since it’s apparent he’s going to be here anyway, might as well maximize his strengths and return him to the jobs where he performed best. Just my opinion.

  3. bacardipr

    October 15, 2013 at 3:39 pm

    Its been a Dr.Hyde and Mr. Jekyll with Kyle for a while. He can look brilliant in two starts then the wheels completely come off in the next. Then he will have one good game and the wheels fall off in his next start. We saw a little bit more of stability in the previous year from him. I would not offer him more than 7 a year. They are desperate for pitching so by default unless they sign someone else they may bring he back.

    • schmenkman

      October 15, 2013 at 3:56 pm

      He has been inconsistent, but as you allude to, for an entire year from 7/1/2012 to 7/1/2013, he put up these stats:

      16-9, 3.18 ERA, and 1.14 WHIP in 37 games (30 starts, 7 in relief)

      By accident of timing it happened across two seasons, otherwise if he had that line “on the back of his baseball card” his contract prospects might be a bit better (whether in arbitration or if he’s non-tendered).

  4. Bob in Bucks

    October 15, 2013 at 4:49 pm

    When you average everything out Kendrick is a funtional #4 pitcher. I don’t see many alternatives for the money.

    • wbramh

      October 16, 2013 at 3:14 am

      I see Kendrick as a more natural #5 or the guy you bring in when your starter’s getting shelled early or suffers an injury and you need a long man to preserve your bullpen.
      I think he’s worth keeping if only in the absence of options and considering the probable starting lineup next year he could very likely be that #4 you see him as. Pettibone doesn’t appear to be any more dominating than Kendrick – certainly not a word you apply to either pitcher. One of the two will be #4, deserving or not. I don’t see any young Cardinal-type arms coming up in this organization; just a lot of names – perhaps badly managed kids who need another organization to educate them and protect them along the way. Or perhaps a scouting crew that’s badly managed and too protected.

  5. Joe

    October 15, 2013 at 9:06 pm

    Anyone think the pitching coach change will have a big effect on struggling/inconsistent pitchers?

    • schmenkman

      October 15, 2013 at 9:14 pm

      I would doubt it.

      • Hogey's Role

        October 15, 2013 at 9:30 pm

        I hope so but time will tell…

  6. Hogey's Role

    October 15, 2013 at 9:35 pm

    I would bring Kendrick back as a number 5 right now behind hamels lee Gonzalez pettibone…. Then I would look over the market and maybe bring back halladay on the right deal if he’s healthy, or someone else… Then I would move Kendrick back to the swing man long relief position and pettibone to the 5 spot

  7. bacardipr

    October 16, 2013 at 2:00 am

    Still think they might need to bring in someone. Risky to have Petti as a # 4 starter. They have little Major League ready depth there. Not counting the usual Zach Miner types Rube brings in for org filler. His injuries and only half of season of MLB credentials. Morgan will probably need more time to prove himself in the minors especially after been shut down.

  8. Art

    October 16, 2013 at 7:29 am

    7 million dollars is awfully expensive for a swing man. Bringing back Kendrick is just ONE MORE reason Amaro should be fired.

  9. Bob D

    October 16, 2013 at 9:44 am

    The 2014 rotation has Lee, Hamels, Gonzalez, Kendrick, Pettibone. They can bring back Doc and I say add yet one more pitcher such as a Garza or Santana (free agents) or trade for one to have 7 starters for next year before Rube even thinks of moving KK elsewhere. Then go into spring and let these guys battle it out for the rotation spot with only Hamels and Lee guaranteed a spot.

  10. BetaSigmaDeltaShag

    October 16, 2013 at 3:52 pm

    I think Kendrick makes a perfect fifth starter or long man spot starter I don’t know if $7 million is too much to pay for that kind of picture by the number five starter just over four point ERA and every three good games I think that’s what a 5th starter is

  11. bacardipr

    October 16, 2013 at 5:57 pm

    Doubt they will add Doc, Garza and Kendrick. I can see them trading Kendrick to bring in Garza but not both or all 3. Petti should make a good alternative for spot starts or long man.

  12. bacardipr

    October 16, 2013 at 6:01 pm

    Doc will get a contract somewhere simply because he is Roy H.

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