Phillies Nation Roundtable: 2014 Predictions – Phillies Nation

Phillies Nation Roundtable: 2014 Predictions

A few of us agree that Utley will have a pretty good year. After that, we’re all over the place with where the Phillies will finish.

It’s that time of year again – less than 24 hours from the first pitch of Phillies baseball, the staff at Phillies Nation has put together their Phillies’ predictions for the upcoming season. They range from the optimistic (Kenny) to the downright awful (me). In order from most positive to negative, here are our predictions for the 2014 season.

Kenny Ayres: The Phillies will struggle for the first month and a half, but a combination of improved health and leadership from Howard, Utley and Rollins on offense will spark the team to an 88 win season.

Pat Gallen: Too many things have to go right for the Phillies to grab a spot in the postseason. I’m with many others who don’t believe the Phillies can legitimately contend. But I do think they can hang around enough to win 80 games, finishing third in the division, missing out on the wildcard by 7 games.  I see the Nats running away with the division winning 94 games.

Jay Floyd: The Phillies will struggle to crack 80 wins this season.  The reputations and past performances of legendary Phillies names that got them to five consecutive MLB playoff tournaments will not be enough to carry this offensively-strapped team into a postseason.  Prediction: 78-84.

Eric Seidman: The Phillies will play better than most expect them to, for a while, enough to not trade away Cliff Lee and others, but an injury in the second half will lead them to lose a lot down the stretch. They’ll finish 76-86, even thought they hovered over .500 for most of the year.

Pat Egan: The Phillies lineup won’t perform nearly as poorly as most are expecting. Healthy seasons from Utley, Howard, and a full season of Revere will keep the offensive numbers respectable, but an improved Marlins team, along with a bounce-back year from the Nationals, will see the Phillies win 74 games & finish 4th in the division.

Don McGettigan: I think this season has the potential to be a complete disaster. The Phillies will be dominated in their own division, fight for 4th place, and finish with a record of 70-92. Cliff Lee gets dealt, Ryan Howard hurts something again, and Ruben Amaro Jr is fired by the end of the season.

Ian Riccaboni: The Phillies will get off to a slow start. Even though the team will be healthy for a majority of the year, they will never compete. Chase Utley will have his last great season, Jimmy Rollins will return to 2012 form, and the young bullpen will become a strength but it won’t be enough to overcome deficits everywhere else. The Phillies will win 64 games and be sent to the basement when the Mets win 68 and the Marlins surprise with 76 wins. The Nats run away with the division while the Braves, hamstrung by injuries, finish a very distance second.




  1. butchbro

    March 30, 2014 at 9:19 pm

    62 and 100…enough said!

  2. Vinnie

    March 30, 2014 at 9:37 pm

    Here is my prediction. They won 73 games last season, with injuries to Howard, Doc and Revere. Also blown saves by the closer didn’t help either.

    I think the Byrd is a major improvement over D. Young.

    Doc was injured, and was terrible… AJ will take replace some of his lost production.

    Bastardo will be the closer by the end of June. The rest of the bullpen will be much improved, can’t get any worse than last year.

    Rollins will bounce back a little, Utley will regress a little, and Howard will be have a stint on the DL… but be more productive than last year. So overall, they will be the same as last year.

    Brown will be OK, and Ashe will struggle with the bat, and there will be pressure to replace him with Franco,who will be there in September.

    I heard the over/under for them is 76 games, I think Byrd and AJ can improve last years 73 wins up to about 77.

    But, no matter what good or bad I’ll watch them. Perhaps with reduced attendance, it will be easier to get good tickets.

    • caphlfan

      March 30, 2014 at 10:31 pm

      I like your thinking, but I’m hoping they can get to a .500 mark with improved pitching and bullpen. It’s the hitting issues that bother me, but I can’t help but watch –even from CA!

  3. Scotty Ingerton

    March 30, 2014 at 9:56 pm

    65-70 wins is about right, but since Hamels will be out for (at least) the first month I’d say they’ll be closer to the 65 wins. We’re looking at one of the worst teams in baseball, and I’m afraid that the coaching styles of Sandberg and Bowa will create a lot of unnecessary drama along the way.

    See you down at the park next Monday!

  4. DavefromPhilly

    March 30, 2014 at 10:22 pm

    Yeah, the Phillies will win 88 games, and I am Santa Claus.

    • Donnie

      March 30, 2014 at 10:49 pm

      Hi Santa! Can the Phillies please get a new GM for Christmas this year?

  5. Morris Buttermaker

    March 30, 2014 at 10:43 pm

    The Phillies will win the World Series this year! You heard it here first!

  6. Brooks

    March 30, 2014 at 10:56 pm

    Not too many people here drinking the coolaid?
    I am.
    Phaith brethern, phaith – Howard with 40 (+) hrs and over 120 rbi
    Ruff with 30 (+) hrs
    Utley with over 20 hrs
    Brown hits over 20 again
    Between Hamels, Lee & Burnett – I see 50 (+) wins and maybe 30 losses.
    Revere is healthy for the entire season and hits over .300, steals over 50 bases and scores more than 120 runs..
    Rollins – .265 – .270 and about 30 steals.
    If the bullpen falls into shape, I see the Phils contending for a WC..
    You heard that here first.

    • H-bomb

      March 30, 2014 at 11:06 pm

      You’re an idiot

      • brooks

        March 31, 2014 at 6:22 am

        and you are a classless fool –

    • wbramh

      March 31, 2014 at 1:11 pm

      By “contending for a WC” I assume you mean they’re in line for the league’s loo.
      Otherwise, I’d ask you to pass those mushrooms my way.

  7. Bobby Giaimis

    March 30, 2014 at 11:25 pm

    90 wins. Division or at least a one game play off with nats. They one 73 with a bunch of injuries. I too think the big 3 will have 50 wins- Burnett n hamels. -30. Lee -19 or 20. Nats r really not much better then a healthy phillie team. We lost 15 games by a run by not hitting due to injured players. Healthy team goes to play offs. Too much talent. By the way I’m a phillie fan.

  8. bacardipr

    March 31, 2014 at 12:31 am

    Welll i think they will be more improved than they where last year. My prediction most purely based on my gut more than anything since im not a stat person. Slow start to the season say first 5-6 weeks. They will pick it up and play near 50/50 baseball but never really making many long winning streaks. Finish the season at around 80 wins. I do hope im wrong but thats my prediction for whats its worth…

  9. CS

    March 31, 2014 at 12:44 am

    Looking at the worst team in baseball? What type of hypoglycemia or narcotics overdose are you dealing with?

    • Scotty Ingerton

      March 31, 2014 at 6:25 am

      I said “one of the worst teams in baseball”. They were in the bottom seven last season. They’ll be in the bottom five this season. That pretty much fits the description as “one of the worst teams in baseball”.

  10. bacardipr

    March 31, 2014 at 12:58 am

    Vinnie i think Asche will struggle early. Franco belongs still in the minors and work on that swing.

  11. Tyler

    March 31, 2014 at 1:46 am

    I am making a bold prediction that the phillies will be in the hunt for the playoffs. Howard will have a monster year with surprise production from rollins and utley. If the bullpen holds up I think you will see good starting pitching. Hopefully Amaro Jr. gets fired anyway its time for a fresh face.

    • Chuck A.

      March 31, 2014 at 9:18 am

      No way that Amaro is fired if the Phillies make the playoffs or even come close.

  12. Brian

    March 31, 2014 at 3:29 am

    I think the negativity is a little too high. The Phillies had a lot of things go wrong last year. Halladay was a mess; Revere got hurt; Ruiz, Adams and Howard missed a huge chunk of the season…etc. Now obviously, people are going to get hurt again, but I don’t think the Phillies are going to have as many devastating injuries as they had last year. Also, I never thought I’d say this, but Burnett is an improvement over 2013 Halladay. We also have Byrd who’s a huge improvement over Delmon Young.

    The 2013 Phillies won 73 games. I think the 2014 Phillies, while still very mediocre, are better than the injury-devastated 2013 team. I’m saying 76-81 wins. Ian’s 64 win prediction is a little ridiculous.

  13. Mike in NJ

    March 31, 2014 at 7:38 am


    Getting shutout their last 3 spring games is a harbinger of things to come. I wouldn’t have put a lot of stock in spring if this team hadn’t struggled to score runs the last two years, but it looks like this season will be a continuation of last two. I don’t see any way a core of declining 34+ year old players all play 130+ games, and this bench isn’t good enough to hold on even if the core plays at 2008 levels, which is also highly unlikely.

    On the bright side, Ruin is relieved of his duties at the end of the year.

  14. RON TINI

    March 31, 2014 at 8:43 am


  15. David

    March 31, 2014 at 8:45 am


    They are a complete mess this year Rubin Amaro MUST be fired, and we need to acquire younger people that can actually hit the ball, to be able to give the pitchers a chance to win the game. Utley in his mid 30 and Old man Byrd can’t carry the team of injury prone over paid Howard, and they worth POS Rollins all Season its time for change. It wasn’t Charlies fault he was coaching a team of egos, Maybe instead of trying to save his ass Amaro should have just quit. He will go down as worst GM in Phils history for the fact yes you had pitchers, but no hitters!

  16. Don M

    March 31, 2014 at 9:09 am

    I HOPE they win 90+ and make the playoffs… but I THINK they’ll be a disaster. They aren’t playing with a bullseye on their backs, but they’re playing under a microscope this year. I feel like expectations are low, but the pressure is still ridiculously high – to try to perform to try not to let the “window” close.. I’ll be watching players more than the team this year.. I want to see Brown, Revere, Asche (Franco), Ruf, Deikman… and the guys on the farm, are any of them taking steps closer towards “Top Prospects” or guys that really will make a difference in the majors in a few years.

  17. Lefty

    March 31, 2014 at 9:34 am

    BASEBALL is back baby!!!!!!!!

    Happy opening day to all

    • Chuck A.

      March 31, 2014 at 9:55 am


  18. PJ Byrne

    March 31, 2014 at 10:02 am

    The Phightens rekindle their old fire, win the division and steal the Philadelphia’s heart by sweeping the WS. GO GET THEM BOYS!

  19. jeff of Nova

    March 31, 2014 at 11:24 am

    Happy Opening Day to all of you!

    Go Phiightins!!


  20. Puddin Apodaca

    March 31, 2014 at 11:41 am

    Attendance will really decline this year to about 1.5 million. Amaro will be fired around the all-star break. THe Phils will trade Cliff Lee (at Lee’s request) and Jimmy Rollins (at Rollins request) before the all-star break. Dom Brown will crack the 30 mark in homers and bat .287. But the Phils will really struggle to win 70 games. AND, Ryan Howard and Chase Utley will visit the injured list for extended periods of time. On the positive side, concession food will see no increase is price. Overall, a tough year.

  21. Don M

    March 31, 2014 at 11:49 am

    The people with the “Phillies are going to win the World Series” comments need to either chill a little, or show us their betting slips where they put some cash on the Phillies. I’m all for optimism, but lets also try to be realistic …

  22. Tom in South Philly

    March 31, 2014 at 1:02 pm

    I’m not a pessimistic as many other folks on this site; but as a fan, I hope they are wrong, but I am afraid they are right.

    Trying to be objective as I can; I see the Dodgers, Cardinals and Nationals as virtual locks to win their divisions. There are probably three teams out of it (Rockies, Cubs, and Marlins?); with all the remaining teams competing for a wild card spot. Admittedly, the Phillies may be in the lower half of that group, but they will have a better record than last year and will be playing meaningful games in August and September. If that translates into a playoff run, well, that’s the fun in watching the games.

  23. wbramh

    March 31, 2014 at 1:51 pm


    Your numerical predictions for the team are closest to my own. The differences being where a few of their strengths and failings will occur. I don’t believe Jimmy will bounce back at the plate but assume he’ll remain a defensive strength barring injury. Conversely, I don’t see anything slowing down Utley offensively until he’s 80-years-old but believe his knees-diminished defense will continue to be the new reality and lead to his his eventual retirement. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him pulled in favor of Hernandez whenever they get the lead or find themselves hopelessly out of a game.

    I almost totally disagree with you on the subject of the pen. While some young arms will likely show potential I don’t see any of them as serious 2014 contributors (other than Diekman). The two most critical roles, set-up and closer, will remain the exclusive realm of veterans who have been lobbing 80+ mph fastballs. Considering the fact that Adams is still at “80%” since his surgery (which I believe occurred back in 1900) I think he can be safely counted out for yet another year. And Papelbon? Well, say no more. Yeah, both Adams and Pap may permanently lose their jobs by August but I don’t think their replacements are going to emerge from the ranks – at least not this season. I do like Diekman very much. In fact, if I were a baseball Noah and had to choose nine players to stay on board the team, Diekman would be on my stay dry list (assuming the Phillies Ark is unsinkable) . The rest of ’em I’d throw to the Fish – Florida, that is since their current staff is better than the Phillies’ staff and needs to be cut down a notch or three. But seriously, superior pitching is the reason the Marlins will climb out of the cellar this year (as we both have predicted) although I don’t see them improving to 76 wins unless they chum unmercifully off the Phils and Mets. Could happen, but I think the Marlins will finish in the high 60s, slightly above the Phils but below the Mets who I picked to remain unchanged, despite star issues.

  24. rayray

    April 1, 2014 at 3:32 pm

    I’ve always tried to be positive with this team since 2008 but this year will be their worst. 70 wins injuries plague them marlin byrd gets diabetes from eating too much

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