PN 2009 Season Preview: Mid-Week Predictions

Posted by Tim Malcolm, Wed, April 01, 2009 10:00 AM

For those of you who read this blog last year at this time, I wisely predicted the Seattle Mariners would win the American League and own the AL’s best record.

Ahem …

This year I did not learn my lesson. Tomorrow we’ll take a look at Chad Durbin’s season on the brink; Friday we’ll look at Jimmy Rollins. But today, the 2009 all-league predictions. Twitter style (140 characters or less):

American League West

1. Oakland Athletics – 87-75
Call me an idiot, but the A’s young rotations are cyclical. Their offense is just enough with Holliday to win a weak division.

2. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim – 85-77
They played over their heads in 2008. Offense is older. Pitching is weaker, and I don’t trust that bullpen. Lackey’s injuries will catch up.

3. Seattle Mariners – 73-89
A bad team who played even worse than they should’ve. Speed, speed, speed, some improved pitching. This has to be Felix’s year, right?

4. Texas Rangers – 70-92
Same old story: Pretty good offense, horrendous pitching. Despite an improved bullpen with Francisco, can’t bank on Padilla and Millwood.

American League Central

1. Cleveland Indians – 88-74
Injuries flattened them in 2008. This team is better — balanced offense, strong pitching and a standard but solid bullpen. Carmona? Yes.

2. Minnesota Twins – 85-77
The Twins will once again lose on the division, but they’re good. Watch Liriano tear it up fully healthy. Tight team, good mix.

3. Detroit Tigers – 82-80
Very good offense, especially from one to six. But the pitching remains the question, and it’s very uncertain. Porcello might be a stud.

4. Chicago White Sox – 80-82
Love Carlos Quentin, love Alexei Ramirez, but the rest? Not sold on pitching at all. Seems every other year the Soux fall flat. This is it.

5. Kansas City Royals – 73-89
As much as I love these young guys, they aren’t competing yet. Alex Gordon has to break out; once he does, it’ll take them three years.

American League East

1. Boston Red Sox – 93-69
They always find a way to win, but it’s the pitching that separates. Rotation should patch together good year; bullpen will be outstanding.

2. New York Yankees – 91-71
Talent=success, at least here. Pitching is strong, but bullpen has its issues. That lineup can mash, and if healthy, should go to playoffs.

3. Tampa Bay Rays – 85-77
Fall back to Earth. Great young team, but they’ll have hiccups, especially in a tougher division. Watch for big year from Matt Garza.

4. Toronto Blue Jays – 81-81
Any other division they win a couple more games, but this time this team’s pitching can’t cut it. Halladay is Cy Ever. They’ll struggle.

5. Baltimore Orioles – 69-93
Line up and beat on the Orioles. Sorry kids, but you’re in the East. This team should be success once the age rubs off the Sawx and Yanks.

National League West

1. Los Angeles Dodgers – 86-76
Manny will fuel them. Pitching will win the day. They’re a good team, but not a great team, in the worst division in baseball.

2. San Francisco Giants – 83-79
Don’t sleep on the Giants. They’re getting younger and they’ll have their problems, but in this division they’ll have their moments.

3. Arizona Diamondbacks – 83-79
This team can win 90 games, but they can also win much less. Lineup is shaky despite its exuberance. Pitching? Good, not great. Bullpen bad.

4. Colorado Rockies – 73-89
They have hitting problems. They have pitching problems. They lose Holliday and they’re going even more south. Tulo should rebound.

5. San Diego Padres – 65-97
Better than last year, sure, but not much. Still no offense. They’ll probably show fervor late in season, hinting at a 2010 resurgence.

National League Central

1. St. Louis Cardinals – 87-75
Again, am I crazy? Pitching is suspect, but Duncan gets the best of his men. Offense will be fine with Pujols. It comes down to solid pen.

2. Chicago Cubs – 86-76
It’ll be a dead heat in an inspired division race. Cubs look great on paper, but rotation is paper thin. Bullpen, too. Piniella a time bomb.

3. Cincinnati Reds – 84-78
Tough to project this team. Good rotation. Seemingly good offense. But it never adds up. Won’t again. Still, love Cueto-Volquez-Harang.

4. Milwaukee Brewers – 83-79
Good explosive team with too many small holes, including bullpen. This is a team that could really suffer with one or two big injuries.

5. Houston Astros – 73-89
Complete explosion at Minute Maid this season. Too many large holes. Pitching suffers after Oswalt. No depth behind the first 25. Ugh.

6. Pittsburgh Pirates – 64-98
Who’s on this team? Seriously, question marks everywhere. Look no further than rotation. Nate McLouth gets dealt before season ends?

Of course, no National League East today.

Permalink Comments (11) | Trackback (0)

11 Responses to “PN 2009 Season Preview: Mid-Week Predictions”

  1. NJ Says:

    Wow there’s someone else who thinks Tampa misses out completely this year too, Tim I have a newfound respect for you not bowing to the sycophantic insiders who think of the Rays like they do their kids. Do not see how the Yanks could possible not make the post-season and the Sox were one game away from the series.

  2. Don M Says:

    I think the Indians are going to suck this year… Twins will be good, cause they have a nasty rotation. the White Sox should be good again.. I stated a few times that the Royals will be above .500 late into the season.. Tigers are the Wild Card, they will score runs, but will they pitch?

    Cubs rotation of Zambrano, Lilly, Demptser, Harden, Marshall (with Samarzdija creeping).. is better than most in baseball.. like all teams, its a matter of staying healthy. Brewers will suck this year, they have no pitching outside of Gallardo.

    NL West is between the Dodgers and Dbacks.. Giants will win some but not challange.

    The NY Yankees aren’t as great as we think.. minus A-Rod they struggle.. Jeter is slowing down, Matsui will be batting 4th.. If Posada stays healthy, they will challange, if not, they won’t …they have no bullpen. RedSox should run away with that division.. Rays will be good, but I think the Wild Card comes from the AL Central (White Sox or Twins)

    The AL West is terrible..

  3. Manny Says:

    We are in pretty much the same page, Tim. My only notable different prediction is in the AL West. The Diamondback’s rotation is very good, one of the best in the NL. You have Webb and Haren delivering probably the best 1-2 punch in the league… and the other guys aren’t bad. Look out for Max Scherzer as their No.5 guy, who has the best stuff. Jon Garland (a good No. 4) is in there too. And overall, the rotation has balance.

    And I also like the Giants in that division..again, because of their rotation. Lincecum and Matt Cain… amazing, followed by Randy Johnson.. Jonathan Sanchez is in there too with really good stuff, and I believe he’s had some very good outings this spring. And I expect their offense to get much, much better. I’m a big Renteria fan and he’ll be batting No.2, which is where he excels in the NL.

    Dodgers, I see them 3rd. Call me crazy, but they lost Lowe which was their best pitcher. They lost Penny, too (who was bad in 08 but is still a very good pitcher). Billingsley is great but I still can’t see him as a No.1 (possible bias due to Myers’ 3 hits against him in the NLCS), Kershaw, Kuroda, Wolf are all good, but I don’t see that powerful pitching rotation that will blow opponents away. And Manny will come back to earth, and it won’t be enough for them to make the playoffs. I guess I really dislike teams that are built around one player…

  4. Manny Says:

    I meant NL West, not AL West

  5. Don M Says:

    I think Kuroda is pretty good.. he moves up to be the Dodgers ACE.. Kershaw should be better, Billingsley was good last year except against us in the postseason.. Wolf is solid as a #3 or #4

    Dodgers lineup will score a ton of runs too.. Ethier, Loney, Martin, Manny, Kemp, Casey Blake.. they are a nice team

  6. Jim Says:

    Tim, are you seriosuly saying that there will be only one- 90+ win team this year? (other than the nl east which you havent posted yet)

  7. ryan Says:

    i disagree with all of those . chicago won’t be as good as last year but they’ll manage to win the central, and the oakland A’s are going to be one of the worst teams in all of baseball this year. they stink.

  8. fred Says:

    A’s will win 90 games this year. And in the AL east all 3 teams have a realistic shot at 95+ wins. But Bo Sox will win division. Cardinals will be pretty average this year, Reds will be pretty good with Votto Bruce Cueto Volzquez. Volzquez is gonna be insane this year.

  9. Tim Malcolm Says:

    Jim: Well I’ve listed two 90+ win teams. There is much more parody than ever in baseball, and I can’t justify the Dodgers, or D-Backs, or Cards, or Brewers, or Reds, or A’s, or Angels, or Rays, or Twins, or Tigers, or Sox, or Indians (who I originally gave 90 wins to) absolutely getting 90.

    ryan: Every year two or three new teams in each league make the playoffs. Like clockwork. There’s incredible parody, again. I’m taking my chances. Remember, these are simply my predictions. Everyone has their own.

    fred: I wanted to do more with the Reds, but I thought not to completely overrate them yet.

  10. Don M Says:

    I expected the Reds to be good last year and they weren’t.. my surprise team this year was the Royals.. we’ll see

    I think the A’s will suck too.. Indians will suck…

    The Rays, RedSox, and Yankees will all beat up on each other all season

  11. Bruce Says:

    Tim: “Parody”? Try parity. ;-)

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