Offense A Key in Home Struggles
Posted by Amanda Orr, Tue, June 16, 2009 02:40 PM
On June 16, 2008, the Philadelphia Phillies had an overall record of 41-30. Exactly one year later, the Phillies are on the same pace as last season with a 36-25 record in less games. The Phillies could have a better record than indicated with tough losses on blown saves or bad calls by umpires. All hurt, but it is the play on their home turf that has hurt the most.
The Phillies Pythagorean winning percentage is 34-27, two more losses than their real record. A Pythagorean winning percentage estimates a teams win-loss record given their runs scored and runs allowed. In the Phillies case, they have scored 337 runs and allowed 298.
The Phillies are a major league best 23-9 away from Citizens Bank Park. However, they are 13-16 at the same place they went undefeated during the 2008 postseason.
It is obvious a hitters park like Citizens Bank Park will lead to problems for pitchers. The Phillies have a 5.22 ERA at home. They’ve allowed 49 home runs, however it isn’t much different from their road total (42). On the road they are not lights out, but have a tolerable 4.15 ERA.
With a potent lineup at a hitter’s paradise you’d figure that the Phillies would be an offensive scoring machine. The Phillies are first in the National League in runs per game (5.5) and fifth in batting average (.263), however much of their offensive success has come away from Philly.
The Phillies are batting .252 with 39 HR, 145 runs scored, and are slugging .450 at home. On the road, they are batting .273 with 51 HR, 192 runs and are slugging .471. There isn’t a dramatic difference in games played at home and on the road. Just 3.
The Phillies struggles at home can be targeted at the pitching, but the offense has not played to their expectations at a place where they can easily light up the scoreboard.
12 Responses to “Offense A Key in Home Struggles”
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June 16th, 2009 at 3:20 pm
I think this is the first article by Amanda that I didn’t instantly realize was written by Amanda
June 16th, 2009 at 3:25 pm
Whatever the struggles are for this team at home, they need to fix them fast. They cannot expect to just continue to roll on the road. And come October, they will NEED to win at home.
June 16th, 2009 at 4:03 pm
you spelled undefeated wrong
June 16th, 2009 at 4:03 pm
Nice work Amanda.
June 16th, 2009 at 4:06 pm
Does this shirt make me look gay?
http://weblogs.newsday.com/sports/columnists/jimbaumbach/blog/reyes.jpg
June 16th, 2009 at 4:28 pm
IMO, they all try to yank balls out of the park at home, on the road they probably focus more on just hitting the ball hard. Short porch syndrome?
June 16th, 2009 at 5:39 pm
If you get behind early, the hitters start to press to catch back up.
June 16th, 2009 at 5:53 pm
With the current record of 36-25 (2nd best record in the NL) and a 4 game lead over the Mets, I wouldn’t fret over statistics such as Amanda’s “Pythagorean winning percentage” which is inconsequential. Charlie Manuel stated earlier to the media, that as the season progress, the law of averages will play out for the better teams (including our Phillies) and eventually the home record will be on the plus side.
June 16th, 2009 at 7:56 pm
Looks like Hamels is working on a curveball… just hope he doesn’t hang one tonight.
June 16th, 2009 at 8:04 pm
greg b. – i agree…typically pitcher’s mistake = hr. but in this park not the case…any well hit fly ball or high line drive is cause to genuflect
June 17th, 2009 at 6:21 am
greg b. – i agree…typically pitcher’s mistake = hr. but in this park not the case…any well hit fly ball or high line drive is cause to genuflect
Sorry… forgot to say great post – can’t wait to read your next one!
June 17th, 2009 at 6:30 am
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