The Mets are inching closer to securing Johan Santana in a trade.
While you may be panicking, Phillies fan, letâ€™s give you some peace of mind. Remember, as much as Mets fans donâ€™t want you to think so, we are the best team in the East until someone unseats us.
I scanned Johan Santanaâ€™s numbers to find some interesting things:
Some Phillies fans are worried that Santana will murder our left-handed-heavy lineup. But I present this statistic:
- Santana vs RHP: .220 AVG/.276 OBP/.365 SLG
Santana vs LHP: .223 AVG/.283 OBP/.371 SLG
Looks like lefties hit Santana better than righties. Advantage: Phillies.
Some will point to Santanaâ€™s 1.93 ERA against the Phillies, but Iâ€™ll point to this:
- Against the Phillies: 4.2 IP, 0-0, 6 BB, 102 OPS+
Against the patient Phils lineup, Santana could be in for a world of trouble. Advantage: Phillies.
Also, Santana has never pitched at Citizens Bank Park. Be prepared, Johan, it ainâ€™t no pic-a-nic.
Finally, the Phils play the Mets six times in April, then seven times in July:
- Santana in April: 9-7 / 4.23 ERA / 122 OPS+
Santana in July: 15-9 / 3.67 ERA / 104 OPS+
Okay, Iâ€™m obviously fishing for poor numbers in his resume (and even these numbers arenâ€™t that poor, and some are extremely small samples), but, hereâ€™s the honest truth: If the Mets add Santana, the division isnâ€™t necessarily theirs. In fact, the Mets, in my opinion, have a far inferior offense to the Phillies, while the addition of Santana will probably give the Mets a slight edge in rotation.
What this means most of all, however, is the Phils must answer. They donâ€™t need to break the bank for an Erik Bedard, but they need to find a stable rotation piece and a stable back-end bullpen piece. If they do that, the Metsâ€™ addition of Santana wonâ€™t make the Mets the better team.