Phillies currently have worst odds to win National League East

In March of 2019, the Philadelphia Phillies had 2/1 odds to win the NL East, following an offseason where they landed Bryce Harper, J.T. Realmuto, Andrew McCutchen and Jean Segura. Nearly two years later, BetOnline says that the Phillies have a National League East-worst 9/1 odds.

Bryce Harper and the Phillies may have an uphill battle in 2021. (Andy Lewis/Icon Sportswire)

In 2020, the Phillies finished in third place in the National League East, behind the playoff-bound Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, but ahead of the New York Mets and Washington Nationals.

The landscape of the division has shifted this winter, though.

On Oct. 30, 2020, MLB owners approved the sale of the Mets to Steve Cohen, who immediately became the wealthiest MLB owner. Since then, the Mets have acquired Francisco Lindor and Carlos Carrasco from Cleveland, along with signing catcher James McCann and reliever Trevor May.

The Mets, per the site, have the second best odds to win the National League East at 9/5, behind the three-time defending division champion Atlanta Braves, who sit at 3/2. The Washington Nationals (11/2) and Miami Marlins (15/2) and third and fourth, respectively.

The Phillies short-term future at catcher and shortstop is uncertain. J.T. Realmuto and Didi Gregorius remain free agents, although there was some movement on both fronts this week.

The Toronto Blue Jays seemingly remain in the mix for the two-time All-Star catcher, though Jayson Stark of The Athletic reported Friday that the Phillies have extended a five-year offer worth more than $100 million to him.

As far as Gregorius goes, Jim Salisbury of NBC Sports Philadelphia reported earlier this week that the Phillies remain “engaged” with Gregorius, who homered 10 times and drove in 40 runs this past season for the Phillies.

Should the Phillies fail to re-sign Gregorius they might look to free agent Marcus Semien. Jim Bowden of The Athletic tweeted on Jan. 13 that the Phillies are one of four teams involved in negotiations with the former Oakland Athletic.

Semien is notable for his slick defense at shortstop. Since 2016, he has 19 defensive runs saved while slashing a respectable .255/.328/.436. In 2019 he finished third in American League MVP voting.

While their division odds remain low, the team’s immediate future is fluid. Should the Phillies sign any of these free agents, their odds to win what’s going to be a heavily-contested division will improve.


  1. The Top 10 Phillies Home Runs Of The 2020 Season
  2. Dave Dombrowski Provides Update On J.T. Realmuto, Didi Gregorius
  3. Would Phillies Be Able To Compete In A Meaningful Way During J.T. Realmuto’s Remaining Peak Years?
  4. Phillies Should Avoid Banking On Spencer Howard As Key Starter In 2021
  5. 5 J.T. Realmuto Free Agency Scenarios That End In Him Signing Elsewhere
  6. What Was The Biggest Home Run Of Chase Utley’s Career?
  7. Phillies Trade For Intriguing Reliever José Alvarado
  8. Which Former Phillies Are Still Free Agents?
  9. The Hidden Value In J.T. Realmuto Lies Within His Improved Pitch-Framing Abilities
  10. The Top 10 Phillies Home Runs At Citizens Bank Park

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